Indian Society Population and Associated Issues GS Paper I

Population and Associated Issues — Quick Revision

One-page UPSC revision on India's population: Census 2011 and NFHS-5 figures, demographic terms, phases of growth, dividend, ageing and population policy.

SyllabusGS I · Population and associated issues

By 2 min read Updated Oct 2026 #quick revision#society#population-and-associated-issues

A last-week sheet on population. Memorise the numbers with their sources; for Mains, remember the argument: from “too many people” to “human capital and ageing”.

Core Numbers

IndicatorFigureSource
Population121.09 croreCensus 2011
Decadal growth17.7% (2001–11); 21.5% (1991–2001)Census 2011
Density382 per sq kmCensus 2011
Sex ratio / child sex ratio943 / 919Census 2011
Elderly (60+)8.6%Census 2011
Migrants (last residence)45.6 crore (about 37%)Census 2011
TFR2.0NFHS-5 (2019–21)
Highest / lowest TFRBihar (about 3.0) / Sikkim (about 1.1)NFHS-5 (2019–21)

Terms

TermOne-liner
Replacement TFRAbout 2.1
Population momentumGrowth continues after TFR falls, due to a young age structure
Dependency ratioDependants per working-age person
Demographic dividendGrowth potential of a high working-age share

Phases of Growth

PeriodPhase
1901–21Stagnant (negative growth in 1911–21)
1921–51Steady growth — 1921 the “great divide”
1951–81Population explosion
1981 onwardsHigh growth with definite slowdown

Policy Timeline

YearMilestone
1952First national family planning programme in the world
1976National Population Policy statement; 42nd Amendment seat freeze
1994ICPD, Cairo — rights and choice
2000NPP 2000; National Commission on Population
200184th Amendment — freeze till first Census after 2026
2003Javed v. State of Haryana — two-child norm for panchayat candidates upheld
2016Mission Parivar Vikas — 146 districts, seven States
High-yield facts
  • Dividend peak: around 2041, working-age share about 59% (Economic Survey 2018-19).
  • Elderly share projected above 20% by 2050 (UNFPA India Ageing Report 2023).
  • India overtook China as the most populous country in April 2023 (UN DESA projection).
  • Next Census reference date: 1 March 2027; first digital Census; includes caste enumeration.

Traps

  • Below-replacement TFR does not mean immediate population decline.
  • 1921, not 1951, is the year of the great divide.
  • NPP 2000’s long-term goal is a stable population by 2045, not 2050.
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